Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. ***Full disclosure: The ownership numbers are based on the $10K Drive The Green $5 Single Entry contest, which is important to note as ownership in showdown can vary from contest to contest depending on field size and entry fee. The 2022 Sentry Tournament of Champions is here, and we're back with our PGA Tour expert picks and betting tips for the tournament at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler with a 7.69% implied probability and then Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. Reed is a grinder who navigates windy conditions well with a relatively low ball flight. Please Gamble Responsibly. OK, so thats a lot of animals and a tenuous connection to the free-spirited 33-year-old who has set the snail loose on occasion but is unlikely to make an appearance if his owner remains consistent at PGA National, home of, naturally, The Bear Trap, which has revealed a softer underbelly when Hubbard has appeared. Morikawa (21-1) and Thomas (20-1) also are among the top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, while Fitzpatrick (28-1) and Spieth (41-1) are among the longshots. If you dont pick him to win, be sure to grab him at +450 to top-10. Expect him to do so tomorrow. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. ET at Cashman Field (FX). The afternoon played about half a shot more difficult despite experiencing "significantly more wind" than the AM wave. The Spaniard also leads in greens in regulation percentage (75.7%) and strokes gained total. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando is next up on the PGA Tour schedule, the third designated event in four weeks. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but every now and then when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 3 groupings for Saturday, Jordan Spieth, a snap hook, a lefty stance, rules and one chaotic ending. 1-ranked player in the world has now won twice in his last three events worldwide. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of over $2,000 for $100 bettors. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. Hochberg: Collin Morikawa is 30-1. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Scottie Schefflermade a massive move up the leaderboard last year on Saturday and that is validated by the incredible round 3 scoring average which is the 2nd best on the slate. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. When it comes to picking a winner, more often than not, theyve been among the best players in the field. It starts this week. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. Per our model, Rory McIlroy has +179 odds to finish in the Top 5 at this event, making PointsBet's odds a 5-star value. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. Scott has had a ton of success at Riviera. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. The entire $6krange in the screenshot above will be going off in the morning after some mediocre golf so far. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who had an off day, particularly with their irons. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. So there's precedent there for no-cut events. Going into the week, Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win, followed by Rory McIlroy (+800). To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a. Hes followed by Rory McIlroy at 9.09%. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! After missing last fall due to a back injury, he has put the rust behind him as he finished fourth in his last start at the Genesis Invitational. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when he's on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. Rikuya Hoshino(+333 for a Top 40) The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. He even had his own Tiger Woods-like, boulder-moving experience at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Trying to predict the weather is starting to seem rather impossible. Hes also enjoyed a strong 2023, with two top-20 finishes in his last three events. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,500. at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. Took a hit at the Wells Fargo with an MC, but he finished T3, T9, T13 in his three starts before that. His R3 scoring is not the best but that is usually because he is around the top of the leaderboard. The full-field model is available to premium subscribers HERE. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. All of our market picks are independently selected and curated by the editorial team. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. One of McClure's top one and done picks this week for the Honda Classic is 24-year-old Sungjae Im. Corey Conners shot 66 (-6) and lead the field in fantasy points, taking advantage of the rather benign conditions this morning. The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. McIlroy has had a ton of success at this tournament. Let's analyze Tipico. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a, , so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host, The event will have a major championship-like feel because of the. To-win: Brooks Koepka, +5,000. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh. Hes also in decent form coming off a T6 at the Wells Fargo and a T8 at the Masters over his past three events (although he did miss the cut at the Valspar). Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. These elevated events just keep elevating. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. These are tough to figure out and give most players fits. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 ). Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!! Stop at mega chalk and go when we see leverage that makes sense. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Whether youre betting on designated tournaments, match play events, or majors, theres something for everyone. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. TPC Scottsdale greens are an over-seeded hybrid grass blend and roll pure and true. The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. 2-ranked player in the world didnt finish inside the top 8. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at nick.piastowski@golf.com. The expert also just missed a massive 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. Now, McClure has set his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 and revealed his optimal PGA DFS picks. In his role, he is responsible for editing, writing and developing stories across the golf space. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. big-bucks bets with a sportsbook or through free-to-play Chirp Golf, an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play. To-win: Viktor Hovland, +2,000. That means the best players in the world will be competing for a $20 million purse. Jon Rahm (+650) has the best golf odds to win. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. The Aussie has had some great performances on tough golf courses this year (T8 at the Genesis, a win at the Honda). Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. Hes an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). The winning score at the event over the last seven years has been between -11 and -19. The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). 7:17 pm ET, check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks, odds, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. Schauffele has always played well at majors, and this has a major-tournament feel. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. Lifestyle . Since 2020, hes 3-for-3 with two top 15s and a scoring average of exactly 70. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. 1-800-547-6133 (WA). PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. The message was that hes balanced and playing well upon arrival. With that being said, he has struggled historically with Bermuda greens. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. The American Express Sleepers Tom Hoge +4000 Odds to Win Hoge is one of the most underrated players on the PGA Tour. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Kiawah Island By: Nick Piastowski May 18, 2021 Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA. 19+ in Ontario. One and Done Selections - The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Clark checks off a lot of boxes when it comes to the key metrics for the week, especially around the green, where hes able to scramble well primarily because of his ability to putt well on poa. Jason Day is playing much better golf lately and now that he has made the cut maybe he can play a little more freely and start rolling in the putts we have seen him make over the last few weeks. Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when hes on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler at 9.09% and then Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. The Ocean Course is long, difficult and a windy place to play golf, but its a course that fits Leishman well. Historically, these have been some of the easiest greens of the year to putt on. All Rights Reserved. Rahm will want to hang on to the No. , including world No. He has great course history here which makes a lot of sense in hindsight, but his putter gaining more than 2 strokes in a round, does not make sense. Not to mention a guy who has been rock solid all year. In this space last August, we picked Morikawa to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy, and, if you ask me, it was impressive as Morikawas drive-the-green tee shot on 16 at Harding Park. See who he is backing at SportsLine. About; Careers . For live odds, visit BetMGM. PGA Tour schedule World Golf Rankings 2023 Farmers Insurance Open props, best bets, odds: Sleepers, head-to-head golf matchup picks from PGA expert Mike McClure studied the Farmers. He finished T-10 last week at the WM Phoenix Open and T-8 at this event in 2021. Bring on major victory No. McIlroy said: "If you think of like the four WGC's, you've got the three playoffs events, you've got the CJ Cup, the Zozo. It's expected to be another tough test after Scheffler won last year by one stroke at 5-under par. That should be something to consider this week, especially given his odds. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. Sleeper pick: Rickie Fowler, +17,500. See McDonald's picks, best bets and predictions here. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. 3-ranked player in the world doesnt have a top-25 finish on the PGA Tour yet this calendar year. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Sea Dragons vs. Vipers odds, and make our expert XFL picks, predictions and bets.. 5! an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. (Could also be a sleeper at those odds.). Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. His game is trending in the right direction, and Im expecting a good week for the Northern Irishman. Ill stop typing for a second to relax my tiny neck as it struggles to hold my giant head. Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a T66 well back of Strakas championship pace. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. 15-time major champion Tiger Woods will also be in the field and making his The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. 21 years of age or older to wager. Bradley and Bezuidenhout were mentioned in the sleeper section. 1. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. Going into the tournament, Jon Rahm has the best odds to win at +750. Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. Sign up today or log in to your account to get closer to the action on the course! 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. Arnold Palmer Invitational Model Picks: Top 5, Top 10, Top 20, Top 40. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . 14. Sitting a few shots back is EXACTLY where he feels most comfortable and hopefully the majority of ownership falls on Rory who had a great R2 and is the cheapest of the "Big 3". This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. Bio Kim(+400 for a Top 40) If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Those include Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and Bay Hill. He finished eighth at the Players and T9 at the RBC Heritage, so Im eager to see how his game will play at Kiawah this week. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. To-win: Daniel Berger, +3,000. section: | slug: 2023-arnold-palmer-invitational-picks-predictions-field-odds-golf-expert-fading-justin-thomas-at-bay-hill | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | When youre talented, youre talented. That includes going 2-for-2 in the set last year. Thats not a bad combination for success on an Ocean Course that typically sees high winds and unpredictable conditions. Ill stop typing for a second to hear the sound of a million mice clicking away. Andrew. Bergers best golf has come in the past 12 months. 1 Jon Rahm and the other two men who held that spot in February Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy headline the 120-player Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. Chalk: a) A popular player who played okay yesterday, b) A less popular player who played well yesterday. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. He has been nominated multiple times for awards for his written work in both baseball (best MLB series) and .
